Why show two numbers?
Official figures are the baseline. The rolling estimate adds a projection for any days after the latest official row, using the latest seven-day average. This helps answer common searches like "how many migrants entered the UK this year" while still making the official/estimated distinction clear.
Where does the data come from?
The source is the GOV.UK publication on small boat activity in the English Channel. Megadinghy is a satire site and should not be treated as an official statistics provider.
Related searches
See this week's arrivals, this month's arrivals, and the live-style stats dashboard.